Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-19 2.699184 2.831278 2.969722 3.126242 3.299029 3.484815 3.700864
2025-10-26 2.494644 2.677482 2.877839 3.115822 3.393711 3.711766 4.109164
2025-11-02 2.316962 2.529325 2.769977 3.067105 3.430401 3.869230 4.454857
2025-11-09 2.144359 2.369434 2.630765 2.962887 3.383688 3.914558 4.663843
2025-11-16 2.017373 2.251886 2.529850 2.892093 3.365904 3.988220 4.915737
2025-11-23 1.932569 2.177877 2.474370 2.870269 3.404757 4.136489 5.293169
2025-11-30 1.868767 2.124491 2.439227 2.869269 3.467997 4.322617 5.760441
2025-12-07 1.796968 2.056381 2.380082 2.830315 3.472603 4.421187 6.104689
2025-12-14 1.715606 1.971861 2.294564 2.748829 3.407785 4.404580 6.244061
2025-12-21 1.679849 1.943614 2.280461 2.763540 3.483002 4.614360 6.844602
2025-12-28 1.657764 1.931524 2.286377 2.805606 3.601757 4.910481 7.705727
2026-01-04 1.609792 1.883161 2.240563 2.769697 3.595236 4.989701 8.126905
2026-01-11 1.570831 1.848449 2.216044 2.769924 3.657244 5.221455 9.057732
2026-01-18 1.546893 1.832999 2.217599 2.809564 3.789518 5.614839 10.668405
2026-01-25 1.508263 1.795999 2.186951 2.797975 3.834207 5.847530 12.019053
2026-02-01 1.454148 1.735773 2.120469 2.726364 3.766654 5.833071 12.539038
2026-02-08 1.409657 1.687300 2.068860 2.675130 3.731010 5.883790 13.382946
2026-02-15 1.379128 1.657054 2.042227 2.661839 3.763050 6.095286 15.177670
2026-02-22 1.355053 1.634850 2.026180 2.664300 3.824422 6.391946 17.932685
2026-03-01 1.323124 1.600469 1.990614 2.632328 3.816225 6.514319 20.000236
2026-03-08 1.282737 1.552975 1.933869 2.562212 3.727292 6.409789 20.356288
2026-03-15 1.266595 1.539418 1.927326 2.575761 3.805919 6.776188 25.689307
2026-03-22 1.257339 1.535284 1.934632 2.612988 3.936911 7.336608 37.413225